25 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1397
FormWLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1603
FormWLWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+206
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)