25 Jun · 13:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1316
FormLLWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1521
FormLLWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+205
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)