25 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1323
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1542
FormLWWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)