25 Jun · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1550
FormWWLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Bernacki
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1314
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+236
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)