25 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1635
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prokopcov
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1596
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Prokopcov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.