25 Jun · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1521
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Smolka
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1380
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)