25 Jun · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1314
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jurowicz
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1380
FormLLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)