25 Jun · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1680
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Fomin
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1511
FormWLLWW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)