25 Jun · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1261
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1359
FormLLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)