25 Jun · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1497
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gajda
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1377
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)