25 Jun · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1554
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bernacki
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1551
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.