25 Jun · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1413
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1540
FormWWLLL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)