25 Jun · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Smolka
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)