25 Jun · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1631
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Poliniewicz
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1526
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)