25 Jun · 14:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1461
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1550
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H47-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-36)