25 Jun · 14:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1624
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prokopcov
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1630
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Prokopcov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.