25 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)