25 Jun · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1432
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H15-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.