25 Jun · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1607
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kuzmicz
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1576
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.