25 Jun · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1549
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bernacki
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1381
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)