25 Jun · 15:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1633
FormWWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wisniewski
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1519
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)