25 Jun · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1556
FormLLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Rutkowski
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1714
FormWWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)