25 Jun · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)