5 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
NA
🏆Nikita Artemenko
ELO 1615
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rolland
JR
🏆Jules Rolland
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rolland
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.