5 Jul · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🏆Sora Matsushima
ELO 1826
FormWWWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Lebrun
FL
🏆Felix Lebrun
ELO 1910
FormWWWWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)