5 Jul · 21:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MH
🏆Miwa Harimoto
ELO 1949
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Harimoto
MK
🏆Man Kuai
ELO 1885
FormWWWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Harimoto
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)