4 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BD
🏆Benedikt Duda
ELO 1630
FormLWLLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Togami
ST
🏆Shunsuke Togami
ELO 1751
FormLWWWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Togami
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%
0-3
31%
1-3
30%
2-3
20%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+121
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)