4 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🏆Sora Matsushima
ELO 1841
FormWWWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Matsushima
QZ
🏆Qihao Zhou
ELO 1742
FormLLWLW
76%
24%
Fair odds · Matsushima
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%
3-1
29%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+99
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)