4 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IC
🏆I-Ching Cheng
ELO 1686
FormLWLWL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Cheng
ES
🏆Elizabeta Samara
ELO 1491
FormLLLLW
90%
10%
Fair odds · Cheng
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%
3-0
43%
3-1
32%
3-2
15%
2-3
5%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+195
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)