6 Aug · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BD
🏆Benedikt Duda
ELO 1640
FormWLWLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Lebrun
FL
🏆Felix Lebrun
ELO 1904
FormWLWWW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 85%
0-3
55%
1-3
30%
2-3
11%
3-2
2%
3-1
1%
Elo Gap+264
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)