7 Aug · 13:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DJ
🏆Darko Jorgic
ELO 1719
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lebrun
AL
🏆Alexis Lebrun
ELO 1763
FormLLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)