8 Aug · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HS
🏆Hiroto Shinozuka
ELO 1700
FormWWLWW
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Lebrun
FL
🏆Felix Lebrun
ELO 1907
FormWWLWW
8%
92%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 77%
0-3
45%
1-3
32%
2-3
15%
3-2
4%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+207
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+207)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)