8 Aug · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HH
🏆Hina Hayata
ELO 1865
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kuai
MK
🏆Man Kuai
ELO 1890
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kuai
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)