2 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🏆Remi Betelu
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Betelu
NK
🏆Nurislam Kassym
ELO 1508
FormW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Betelu
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.