2 Sept · 14:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DF
🏆Darya Fu
ELO 1507
FormW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fu
SG
🏆Swastika Ghosh
ELO 1505
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Fu
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 11% · 9.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.