2 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🏆Ruzimukhammad Rakhmonov
ELO 1474
FormLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Akimali
BA
🏆Bakdaulet Akimali
ELO 1477
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Akimali
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.