2 Sept · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EG
🏆Ebrahim Gubran
ELO 1415
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gubran
AK
🏆Aidos Kenzhigulov
ELO 1388
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Gubran
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 13% · 8.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.