2 Sept · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🏆A Bu Shulaybi
ELO 1500
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Shulaybi
SG
🏆Shahbozbek Gulomiddinov
ELO 1463
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Shulaybi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.