2 Sept · 15:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🏆Vladislav Makarov
ELO 1535
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Makarov
LV
🏆Lev Volin
ELO 1527
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Makarov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.