3 Sept · 14:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TC
🏆Tung-Chuan Chien
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chien
DC
🏆Diya Parag Chitale
ELO 1552
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Chien
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.