3 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🏆Payas Jain
ELO 1494
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jain
AK
🏆Alexis Kouraichi
ELO 1489
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jain
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.