3 Sept · 14:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CK
🏆Christina Kallberg
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kallberg
VK
🏆Valeriia Kotsiur
ELO 1506
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kallberg
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.