3 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🏆Olga Vorobeva
ELO 1516
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Das
SD
🏆Syndrela Das
ELO 1544
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Das
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.