3 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🏆Ricardo Walther
ELO 1533
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivonin
DI
🏆Denis Ivonin
ELO 1546
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Ivonin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.