5 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KA
🏆Kaho Akae
ELO 1747
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Akae
MN
🏆Miyu Nagasaki
ELO 1743
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Akae
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.