9 Sept · 14:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PF
🏆Patrick Franziska
ELO 1691
FormLWLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Moregard
TM
🏆Truls Moregard
ELO 1781
FormLWWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Moregard
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
20%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+90
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)