8 Sept · 05:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JG
🏆Joao Geraldo
ELO 1635
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lind
AL
🏆Anders Lind
ELO 1712
FormLWLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Lind
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)