9 Sept · 05:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🏆Kanak Jha
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jha
YH
🏆Youzheng Huang
ELO 1601
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Jha
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.