10 Sept · 05:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NM
🏆Nina Mittelham
ELO 1586
FormLWLLW
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Chen
XC
🏆Xingtong Chen
ELO 1899
FormLWWWW
3%
97%
Fair odds · Chen
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%
0-3
61%
1-3
28%
2-3
8%
3-2
1%
3-1
1%
Elo Gap+313
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+313)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)