11 Sept · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BD
🏆Benedikt Duda
ELO 1645
FormWLWLW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Lebrun
AL
🏆Alexis Lebrun
ELO 1769
FormWLWLL
19%
81%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%
0-3
31%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+124
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)